Chapter 3: Ai As A Strategy Consultant
π― The 'Red Team' Exercise: Finding Flaws in Your Plan
One of the greatest risks in strategic planning is "groupthink"βthe tendency for a team to conform and overlook potential flaws in a plan. Before you present a new strategy to your board, you can use an AI as a confidential "red team" to challenge your assumptions and identify weaknesses.
A red team's purpose is to act as a friendly adversary, stress-testing your plan to make it stronger.
The Strategy: Prompting for a Critical Persona
The key is to instruct the AI to adopt a skeptical persona and ask it to actively critique your plan. This is a safe way to use a public AI, as you are providing your plan's summary, not sensitive underlying data.
Example Scenario: You are about to propose a new strategic initiative to expand your manufacturing operations into Southeast Asia.
Example Prompt:
"Act as a highly skeptical, detail-oriented board member with a deep background in international logistics. I am about to propose an expansion into Southeast Asia.
My Proposal Summary: We will enter the market by building a new factory in Vietnam. We project this will cost $20M and allow us to reduce production costs by 15% within two years.
Your Task: Based on my summary, what are the top three toughest, most critical questions you would ask me during the board meeting? For each question, explain the reasoning behind your concern."
β‘οΈ The AI-Generated Sparring Session
The AI will now shift from a helpful assistant to a critical evaluator. It might generate questions like:
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Question: "You've budgeted $20M for the factory, but you haven't mentioned the costs of navigating local regulations or dealing with potential supply chain disruptions. What is the fully-loaded cost over 36 months, and how does that impact our ROI?"
- Reasoning: The AI flags that the initial capital expenditure is only part of the picture.
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Question: "A 15% cost reduction is attractive, but what is our contingency plan if rising local labor costs or new tariffs erase half of that margin? How sensitive is our business case to these external factors?"
- Reasoning: It's forcing you to justify the financial model against common market volatilities.
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Question: "You're entering a new labor market. What is our plan for retaining key technical staff and integrating our quality control culture? What are the non-financial risks of a potential quality drop?"
- Reasoning: The AI points out a common, non-financial point of failureβcultural integration.
By using an AI as a private red team, you can anticipate difficult questions and strengthen your arguments, entering strategic reviews with a much more resilient plan.
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